Wednesday, April 08, 2009

Optimism in the Venture Capital Market

Keyword for this post:
business plans for venture capital

Bloomberg released a report conducted by the University of San Francisco that gave venture capital the nicest boost of confidence that it has had in nearly 40 years. The source of the confidence appears to be prospects for the government’s stimulus efforts and recent strength in the stock market.

The confidence rating from investors responding to the University of San Francisco’s quarterly survey rose to an average of 3.03, on a scale of 1 to 5, from 2.77 in the fourth quarter.

The increase came even as acquisitions of venture-backed companies plunged and the market for initial public offerings stayed frozen, leaving backers of start-up companies with few profit opportunities. Investments by venture capitalists fell 26 percent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, the latest data show.

The discrepancy between rising confidence and declining venture investment isn’t as unusual as it may seem. Investors’ confidence rises when fewer dollars chase the same deals, making it cheaper to buy stakes in young companies and more profitable when the IPO market thaws. That is the situation right now.

Also, even with the increased confidence, it just takes a while for proposals to work their way through the venture capital wringer before financing is even an option.

IPOs may have a bit of a comeback this year too. There have been no U.S. IPOs of venture-backed companies since August, the longest stretch without a startup going public in at least 38 years, according to the National Venture Capital Association, a trade group.

Many venture capitalists are saying that it will take a couple of years for everything to stabalize, but it is headed in the right direction.

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